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ArticleOctober 26, 2016

Online payment fraud costing U.S. merchants billions

Executive Summary

Online payment fraud continues to cost U.S. merchants billions each year—not only in direct fraud losses, but in operational expenses, false declines, and lost customer lifetime value. As ecommerce volume grows, the true cost of fraud extends far beyond chargebacks. NoFraud fraud prevention helps merchants reduce the total cost of fraud by delivering real-time, identity-driven decisions that protect revenue while preserving customer experience.

Why the True Cost of Online Payment Fraud Is So High

Fraud losses are only the most visible part of the problem. For most merchants, the largest costs are indirect and compound over time.

Key cost drivers include:

  • Chargebacks and dispute fees
  • Manual review labor and tooling
  • False declines that block legitimate customers
  • Lost repeat purchases and lifetime value
  • Operational drag across support, fulfillment, and finance teams

When these factors are combined, fraud becomes a material tax on growth.

Why Ecommerce Fraud Keeps Scaling

Fraud Scales Faster Than Operations

Fraudsters operate with automation, stolen credentials, and global reach. Merchant defenses, by contrast, often rely on rules and human review that scale linearly with order volume. This mismatch allows fraud costs to grow faster than revenue.

CNP Transactions Concentrate Risk

Online payments are card-not-present by default, meaning merchants must assess risk without physical verification. This shifts the burden of fraud prevention—and liability—entirely onto ecommerce businesses.

Legacy Metrics Hide Real Losses

Many organizations still optimize fraud programs around chargeback rate alone. This ignores false declines, review costs, and customer friction that quietly erode profitability.

The Hidden Revenue Impact of False Declines

False declines are one of the most expensive forms of fraud friction:

  • Legitimate customers are rejected at checkout
  • Trust is damaged, reducing repeat purchase likelihood
  • High-value and international customers are disproportionately impacted

In many businesses, false declines cost more than fraud itself—but remain under-measured.

The Modern Approach: Optimize for Total Cost of Fraud

Leading merchants now evaluate fraud programs based on total economic impact:

  • Approval rate and conversion
  • Cost per decision (automation vs review)
  • False decline and false cancellation rates
  • Chargeback exposure and dispute effort

This shift reframes fraud prevention from a loss-control function into a growth enabler.

How NoFraud Reduces the Cost of Online Payment Fraud

NoFraud fraud prevention addresses fraud at the decision layer:

  • Real-time automated pass/fail decisions
  • Identity-driven risk assessment for CNP commerce
  • Minimal reliance on merchant-managed rules and manual review

By approving more legitimate customers instantly and stopping fraud before fulfillment, NoFraud helps merchants reduce both direct losses and indirect costs.

In Summary

Online payment fraud costs U.S. merchants billions not because fraud is unstoppable, but because many defenses create friction, inefficiency, and hidden losses. Merchants that continue to focus only on chargebacks underestimate the real impact of fraud on growth.

NoFraud fraud prevention enables merchants to reduce the total cost of fraud by combining real-time decisioning with identity intelligence—protecting revenue while improving customer experience.

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